D III Women's Volleyball

A source for NCAA Division III women's volleyball info and opinion, with a focus on the Midwest and Central regions

Ricky Nelson’s 2016 Week 9 top 10

The AVCA poll comes out Tuesday.

My rank, (my Week 8 rank, AVCA Week 8 rank), record, key results last week
1 (1,1). Calvin 26-0 W: Hope. 
2 (2,3). Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 22-2 [None].
3 (4,2). Cal Lutheran 23-4 W: La Verne.
4 (6,4). Texas Dallas 26-1 W: Southwestern; Hendrix.
5 (7,8). Emory 27-5 [None]. 
6 (8,7). Wittenberg 18-5 W: Carnegie Mellon.
7 (NR,14). UW-Whitewater 25-6 W: UW-La Crosse; Millikin; UW-Eau Claire; Bethel.
8 (5,5). Southwestern 29-3 W: Hendrix. L: Texas Dallas.
9 (3,10). UW-La Crosse 21-4 L: UW-Whitewater.
10 (10,22). La Verne 22-5 L: Cal Lutheran.
Dropped out: Trinity (Texas) (25-7).

The contenders for Last Team Standing completed their regular seasons unbeaten, the Standout Stats page is as updated as can be, and the Conference Tourneys page is nearly complete. As a teaser for the latter page, one team is already in the Field of 64.

-Ricky Nelson

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Written by Ricky Nelson

October 30, 2016 at 12:04 am

Posted in Uncategorized

6 Responses

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  1. Ricky – Comments not allowed on the conference tournament page. FYI.

    DIIIFan

    October 31, 2016 at 11:59 am

  2. The more I thought about the west regional rankings last week the more I’m thinking that something isn’t right. The movement of both UTD and La Verne up the rankings without support of the published criteria at the time typically means the NCAA committee is meddling with the RAC’s input. I mean if the RAC did this then the committee is there to enforce the criteria, but if the criteria is not followed then it’s with the approval of the committee. I hope I’m not right, but we’ve seen this before by the committee and it typically leads to qualified teams not being selected for the tournament. The only saving grace I see is that it’s happening prior to the final unpublished ranking so it shouldn’t be a surprise to whatever team ends up #7 on the west regional ranking this week. What I’m saying is that although the west has quality teams to fill the west Pool C bids, as we saw last year and the year before, there is a lack of respect for the west that seems to preside in the committee that could lead to another snub.

    With that said, I have no idea how the rankings will go as I can predict the committee using the biased shown last week or I can predict based on the criteria. So, I’ll do both:

    Committee (best guess)
    1. CMS
    2. UTD
    3. Cal Lu
    4. SU
    5. La Verne
    6. Trinity
    7. Colorado College
    8. Whitworth

    UTD bias last week coupled with a strong criteria case makes me think UTD could jump all the way to #1 this week but my guess is that they get #2. The criteria says UTD must jump Cal Lu and with CMS it comes down to whether you prefer their SOS or UTD’s advantage in W/L and a slight ranked opponents advantage. Really, this could go either way depending on whether the UTD bias trumps the love of the SoCal teams.

    SU’s loss to UTD, La Verne’s loss to Cal Lu and Trinity’s loss to UMass-Boston should keep the status quo here. SU has the best loss of the three and also took down Hendrix this weekend. La Verne has no business being ranked ahead of Trinity and CC but it was done last week so here it remains.

    Whitworth already has a bid and just beat Puget Sound who has slumped greatly in the second half of the year. I thought Whitworth should be here last week but could understand Puget Sound hanging on after looking at the criteria again…but not this week.

    Criteria
    1. UTD
    2. CMS
    3. Cal Lu
    4. SU
    5. Trinity
    6. Colorado College
    7. La Verne
    8. Whitworth

    As stated above, UTD and CMS could go either way. I can really make a case for SU being ranked ahead of Cal Lu. Comes down to whether you think their ranked wins advantage compensates for a SOS disadvantage. Looking at the criteria I would have SU ahead of Cal Lu but my eyes tell me to keep it as is. I value the head to head win a lot more than the RAC or committee seem to, which is why you see La Verne sitting 7th (CC and La Verne are basically tied for the 6th and 7th spot).

    DIIIFan

    October 31, 2016 at 1:03 pm

  3. DIIIFan,
    I’m on it.
    -Ricky Nelson

    Ricky Nelson

    October 31, 2016 at 1:34 pm

  4. Sorry I was out for a few weeks. Well UTD showed me…very strong and CMS dropped the ball to both Cal Lu and LV. We will see if they can recover at their conference tournament. Like DIIIFan said these ladies have good and bad days and anyone of the top 10 teams seem to be able to beat each other on any given day…Except maybe Calvin. They wobbled but still came out over Hope. Their confidence has to be very high.

    It is beginning to look like that West region is gonna be crazy again with a strong contender maybe not even getting to play at the big show. Very sad really. If they do it again, the first round “pool of death” will again have 5 to 6 of the top ten teams in the same pool. I hope they can send a few out to other pools just to make it a bit fairer.

    DIIFan you obviously have more insights into how the NCAA chooses. Thanks for your analysis. Very good.

    D3 dad

    November 1, 2016 at 9:20 pm

  5. D3 dad,
    I think a really good serve-receive team can beat Calvin. Calvin’s service game is a weapon.

    There is very little chance that the West won’t be a stacked regional again this year. Flights in D III are difficult to afford with just 3.18 percent of the overall NCAA pie.
    -Ricky Nelson

    Ricky Nelson

    November 2, 2016 at 12:49 am


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