D III Women's Volleyball

A source for NCAA Division III women's volleyball info and opinion, with a focus on the Midwest and Central regions

My guesses at regional hosts

The NCAA will select regional hosts on Nov. 3. Here are the schools I think will get the nods, assuming all of the following teams submitted bids to host.

Central: Washington
Midwest: UW-Eau Claire
Great Lakes: Wittenberg
New York: New York University
Mid-Atlantic: Juniata
New England: Amherst
South: Christopher Newport*
West: Cal Lutheran*

If any look incorrect or unfair to you, keep in mind that the NCAA has to pay airfare to teams that travel 500+ miles to a regional, according this mileage site. If it’s less than 500 miles to any host, then you gas up the bus.

Agree or disagree with my guesses?

p.s. The NCAA does not like to pay for airline tickets if at all possible.

* The NCAA would be best served by waiting on the South and West hosts. Depending on conference tourney results, my guess is that the South Regional will be in Texas or Virginia. The West Regional could be in Southern California or the Pacific Northwest. My best guesses on how the bids will shake out mean Virginia and Southern California will save the NCAA the most money. Fan travel plans will be hurt if the NCAA waits to announce the West and South, but it’s a possibility because there are not clusters of “locks” in either region

-Ricky Nelson

Written by Ricky Nelson

October 31, 2010 at 9:36 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

8 Responses

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  1. this is really helpful…curious as to the christopher newport pick ( rather than emory of course) is this because of the plane fare issue you mentioned? is there no chance it would be in atlanta? if its a plane fare issue I can see why it might make sense to be in texas…it is just too bad the number one seed can’t get the benefit of a home site. A lot of travel and missed classes/homework.

    dad

    November 1, 2010 at 9:33 am

  2. i agree, i don’t think CNU makes sense… it seems like Emory, assuming they put a bid in, would be a better choice than CNU since the majority of the teams are going to come from the western half of the south region. atlanta is about as central to that region as you can get unless they go to Rhodes or something. but realistically i think that they will go into texas (like they usually do in that region).

    JW

    November 1, 2010 at 12:06 pm

  3. I think I remember one time were they hosted in MN, WI, and Wash U hosted. Maybe they will do that again. If they allow UWEC to host what Midwest school goes to Wash U? It can’t or shouldn’t be Carthage being that they are #1 in their region. Perhaps Chicago, Millikin or Elmhurst. No Regional site should have two #1 region team in the same bracket. It will be interesting. Carthage will fight hard to have the right to host.

    Anonymous

    November 1, 2010 at 1:00 pm

  4. Emory could host. I picked CNU only because I selected the host last night. I think CNU and W&L are in, so Virginia was the cluster that made sense at the time. W&L could bus to Emory, but CNU and all of the Texas teams would require flights to Atlanta. Randolph-Macon, if it’s in eventually, would have to fly to Atlanta as well. It really is a cost-saving issue, although flights to Atlanta would probably be cheaper than to most any other city.

    If the NCAA waits until conference tourneys near their completion (to get a better feel of who is in), my picks could definitely change. Many of the ranked Texas teams are in the same conference, so the the last unpublished regional rankings could also change a lot before bids are awarded.

    To be honest, if the NCAA selects hosts for the West and South when it selects the others, I don’t know what it will do. There are a lot of variables. I simply chose what I thought was the safest options at this time. In a few days, Atlanta and Texas could be the more viable option. As could Puget Sound (or another team) in the West. It could be argued that Texas is the safest South option at this time.

    As far as my other guesses are concerned, keep in mind that many Wisconsin/further east teams (Whitewater, Oshkosh, Carthage, Millikin, Elmhurst, etc.) could bus to Ohio.

    -Ricky

    uwoshvball

    November 1, 2010 at 8:35 pm

  5. The WEst and South Regions do not get their hosts named until after conference tournament time so they can avoid flights. It is a rush for those sites, but it goes with the territory of not having many teams in those regions and having so much distance. I believe they decide those on Sunday before they start putting all of the teams in the brackets/regions.

    Anonymous

    November 2, 2010 at 5:21 pm

  6. […] NCAA host release My host guesses (I was […]

  7. Whitworth, UPS and PLU should all be in, so I am defiantly hoping the West site will be Tacoma. That obviously minimizes travel for UPS and PLU ;)

    PirateBFan

    November 7, 2010 at 8:59 am

  8. I think PLU and UPS need to cross their fingers and toes. One of the flight-heavy regionals will be seven teams, and I don’t know if either of those NWC teams is a lock. I’m not done with my Pool C projections yet, but PLU’s numbers (below .500 SOS) are not that strong.

    The D-III outliers like teams west of the Mississippi almost always have an SOS right around .500. That’s not a strong number to the NCAA, but I don’t think the NCAA takes into consideration the fact that the SOS’s are going to be similar due to fewer scheduling options. How many far west volleyball programs can afford an SOS-boosting trip to Minnesota or Wisconsin? I assume not many.

    In the west, a .500 SOS is good. Look at the SOS numbers in the West Region and the SOS numbers in the Central Region. There is little variation in the west and a wide range in the Central. But in relation to the rest of the country, an SOS hovering around .500 isn’t going to have you very high in the regional rankings unless you have a ridiculous winning percentage and/or many results against ranked opponents. The problem is at-large teams are selected, thus compared, on a national basis. The West’s SOS numbers oftentimes pale in comparison.

    -Ricky

    uwoshvball

    November 7, 2010 at 10:23 am


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